Book Authored (ISBN-10: 0824821599)

Book Authored (ISBN-10: 0824821599)
Sovereign Rights and Territorial Space in Sino-Japanese Relations: Irredentism and the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands (ISBN-10: 0824824938)

Monday, September 17, 2012

The Chinese “Super Missile” DF-41 vs. American X-Band-I/Diaoyu/Senkaku-XVII

Since China has possessed a “carrier-killer” (or DF-31), the Pentagon has been concerned it because the anti-ship missile can strike at the American Pacific fleet (see the blog “Carrier-Killer” Missile/Cold War Mentality-V). The “carrier-killer” has a range of 930 miles, which might prevent US ships from approaching the South China Sea. Now, China also appears to have a DF-41 in their hands.
Source: X-Band by (access date: 30 August 2012).
Previously, the discussion between Japan and the United States, according to US defense officials (interview by the Wall Street Journal), was underway to set up a new anti-missile shield, known as the X-Band, on the southern Japanese islet (The Telegraph August 23, 2012). This will be the second X-Band to be place, and a third X-Band will be placed at the Philippines in South East Asia (Phoenix News 22 August 2012). In 2006, the US installed the X-Band in Aomori Japan. Once the three radar arcs set up, they will prevent Chinese navy from entering the Pacific Ocean. Unfortunately, the idiotic Japanese Minister has agreed with the US to set up the second radar as soon as possible when Secretary Leon Panetta visited Japan by September 16, 2012 during ongoing Sino-Japanese territorial disputes in the East China Sea (Jiji News 17 September 2012).  

Source: Mainichi Shimbun (access date: 17 September 2012).

An unnamed American official told Jane’s Defence Weekly that the PLA in China has tested an intercontinental ballistic missile, DF-41, on July 24 and August 16. It was the first time that US authorities confirmed the existence of the missile project (South China Morning Post 24 August 2012; Phoenix News 23 August 2012). However, a Chinese military expert, Wei Guoan, familiar with the missile corps (was interviewed by the Global Times, a newspaper under the CCP party mouthpiece People’s Daily) denied that the missile tested on July 24 was DF-41. “The third generation ICBM equipped with multiple independent re-entry vehicles (MIRVs) is being developed by the Second Artillery….” It was not the DF-41 on July 24. 
Source: DF-41 by (access date: 18 August 2012). 
A number of Western military experts believed that the Chinese abandoned the project a long time ago because of technical difficulties. For instance, Andrei Chang, who edits the Canadian-based Kanwa Asian Defence Monthly said, “The Challenges and difficulties between the second and third generation of ICBMs is very complicated, and the intelligence that I’ve gathered tells me that China is still incapable of overcoming many problems, even though they have spent more than 20 years to develop it (South China Morning Post 24 August 2012).”  
Source: DF-41 by (access date: 20 August 2012).

On the other hand, Larry Wortzel, the former American military intelligence official, quoted in Jane’s report, “The DF-41 is mobile and will be very hard to detect and counter because of that mobility.” Also, Phillip Karber from Georgetown University, studying Chinese nuclear programs told Jane’s that China’s third generation ICBMs, which could carry up to 10 MIRVs, will cover all American cities with a population over 50,000 people with 32 missiles (South China Morning Post 24 August 2012). 
Source: X-Band in Aomori by (access date: 7 September 2012).

Nonetheless, the Chinese military expert in the Hubei TV News state two important rules) which Beijing has long maintained:  

1.      China will not the first to use nuclear weapons;

2.      China will not use the nuclear weapons to non-nuclear states.

The Chinese nuclear forces are designed for counter-strikes against nuclear attacks on its territory. Interestingly, No one in the Chinese military circle has denied that it was not a DF-41 on August 15. The day the Chinese nationalists landed at the Diaoyu Islands!
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